Research

Markets, Macroeconomy & Companies

Deep analysis of global markets, macroeconomics, and companies.

11 articles
U.S.-Iran War Ceasefire: Keeping It Is Harder Than Making It
Macroeconomy

U.S.-Iran War Ceasefire: Keeping It Is Harder Than Making It

A U.S.-Iran ceasefire is possible. But markets care less about the document than whether it can stabilize Hormuz, oil, inflation, and the rate path for long enough to be trusted.

2026-05-2917 min readRead →
Hyundai Motor: The Robot Future Still Needs the Car Business
Company Analysis

Hyundai Motor: The Robot Future Still Needs the Car Business

Hyundai earns today through cars and tries to widen tomorrow through robots and software-defined vehicles. The real test is whether Atlas can move from a stage story to measurable factory productivity.

2026-05-2517 min readRead →
Watergate’s Memory: Could the Trump Era Bring Back a 1970s-Style Slump?
Macroeconomy

Watergate’s Memory: Could the Trump Era Bring Back a 1970s-Style Slump?

Watergate did not cause the 1970s slump by itself. The deeper problem was the collision of political distrust with the Nixon shock, oil shock, inflation, and rates. The Trump-era risk should be read through the same lens.

2026-05-2513 min readRead →
Wabtec: The Hidden Repeat-Revenue Company in Rail
Company Analysis

Wabtec: The Hidden Repeat-Revenue Company in Rail

Wabtec looks like a rail equipment company, but the better story is the repeat revenue attached to assets that run for decades. The business is strong; the harder question is how much of that strength is already priced in.

2026-05-2315 min readRead →
Honeywell: Can It Stay Competitive After the Spin-Off?
Company Analysis

Honeywell: Can It Stay Competitive After the Spin-Off?

Once aerospace leaves, Honeywell becomes easier to read, but it also loses part of its clearest moat. The question is whether automation can fill that gap with results.

2026-05-2114 min readRead →
Resolving The Korea Discount Is Bigger Than Semiconductors
MacroeconomyMacro Regime

Resolving The Korea Discount Is Bigger Than Semiconductors

Korea's market story starts with AI memory, but it does not end there. The larger test is whether exports, household savings, shareholder returns, culture, fiscal policy, and currency discipline can turn a rally into a lasting rerating.

2026-05-1920 min readRead →
The Shadow of 1973: Why the Next Decade in US Stocks May Look Different
MacroeconomyMacro Regime

The Shadow of 1973: Why the Next Decade in US Stocks May Look Different

1973 was a break in the market’s operating system: dollar rules, energy costs, central-bank credibility, and growth-stock valuations moved at once. 2026 is not the same year, but the rhyme is strong enough to question the last decade’s easy playbook.

2026-05-1923 min readRead →
TVA Watts Bar nuclear power plant, illustrating electricity demand behind the uranium fuel cycle
MarketsAlternative Assets

Uranium: The Fuel-Cycle Asset Behind Energy Security

Uranium is less a simple commodity than a fuel-cycle asset. Nuclear demand and energy security support the thesis, but investment results depend on whether the vehicle owns U3O8, miners, enrichment, HALEU, utilities, or a broader theme.

2026-05-1917 min readRead →
NASA aircraft flying over a desert test range, illustrating aerospace demand context
CompaniesCompany Analysis

Howmet Aerospace: An Aerospace Standout, but Priced Like One

Howmet is benefiting from a strong aerospace parts cycle. The risk is not business quality; it is how much room is left when the market already prices HWM like a clear winner.

2026-05-1916 min readRead →
Incyte research and development image with scientists and the Solve On brand mark
CompaniesCompany Analysis

Incyte: Is the Post-JAKAFI Franchise Ready?

JAKAFI still carries much of Incyte. The question is whether OPZELURA, NIKTIMVO, and the pipeline can grow into the next center of gravity before JAKAFI exclusivity weakens after 2028.

2026-05-1917 min readRead →